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Worked examples

biology-population

Example: Lake Algae Bloom Tipping Point

Demonstrates Monod-coupled logistic + LV grazing + bistable switch.

Parameter provenance: the values below are illustrative. lit. / data. / est. mark the intended weight of a range; this file cites no external source. Reading material for the workflow, not a literature-backed model.

cafe-pricing-war

Example: Idea → Mathematical Model (Two Cafés Pricing War)

Demonstrates the game theory lens, strategic interaction that single-actor optimization cannot see.

Parameter provenance: the values below are illustrative. lit. / data. / est. mark the intended weight of a range; this file cites no external source. Reading material for the workflow, not a literature-backed model.

chemistry-reaction

Example: Batch Reactor Scale-Up: Kinetics vs Mixing vs Equilibrium

Demonstrates deterministic primary + spatial/transport + thermodynamic + control secondary on a scale-up diagnosis.

Parameter provenance: the values below are illustrative. lit. / data. / est. mark the intended weight of a range; this file cites no external source. Reading material for the workflow, not a literature-backed model.

climate-energy

Example: Climate-Energy -- Decarbonization Mix (Condensed Skeleton)

Status: this is a 20-line phase outline, not a full worked example and not a validated model. It shows the shape of the 8-phase report. Read a full-length example first; see docs/example-gallery.md.

Parameter provenance: the values below are illustrative placeholders and cite no external source.

coffee-shop-staffing

Example: Idea → Mathematical Model (Coffee Shop Staffing)

Third worked example, demonstrates queueing + optimization on an operations question, including a rejected-lens rationale.

Parameter provenance: the values below are illustrative. lit. / data. / est. mark the intended weight of a range; this file cites no external source. Reading material for the workflow, not a literature-backed model.

control-greenhouse

Example: Idea → Mathematical Model (Greenhouse Night Temperature)

Demonstrates the control lens as primary, steering a system to a setpoint against disturbances.

Parameter provenance: the values below are illustrative. lit. / data. / est. mark the intended weight of a range; this file cites no external source. Reading material for the workflow, not a literature-backed model.

engineering-control

Example: Drone Hover in Wind: Control

Demonstrates control primary + stochastic + optimization + SPC on literal engineering system.

Parameter provenance: the values below are illustrative. lit. / data. / est. mark the intended weight of a range; this file cites no external source. Reading material for the workflow, not a literature-backed model.

epidemic-sir

Example: Idea → Mathematical Model (Epidemic Spread)

Demonstration of the full workflow on a concrete idea.

Parameter provenance: the values below are illustrative. lit. / data. / est. mark the intended weight of a range; this file cites no external source. Reading material for the workflow, not a literature-backed model.

finance-portfolio

Example: Finance-Portfolio -- Mean-Variance Allocation (Condensed Skeleton)

Status: this is a 20-line phase outline, not a full worked example and not a validated model. It shows the shape of the 8-phase report. Read a full-length example first; see docs/example-gallery.md.

Parameter provenance: the values below are illustrative placeholders and cite no external source.

fleet-maintenance

Example: Idea → Mathematical Model (Delivery Fleet Preventive Maintenance)

Demonstrates the reliability lens, deciding policy over failure times.

Parameter provenance: the values below are illustrative. lit. / data. / est. mark the intended weight of a range; this file cites no external source. Reading material for the workflow, not a literature-backed model.

insurance-ruin

Example: Idea → Mathematical Model (Insurance Ruin Risk)

Demonstrates stochastic lens on rare events, where deterministic thinking fails hardest.

Parameter provenance: the values below are illustrative. lit. / data. / est. mark the intended weight of a range; this file cites no external source. Reading material for the workflow, not a literature-backed model.

marketing-attribution

Example: Idea → Mathematical Model (Marketing Attribution)

Demonstrates the causal inference lens, turning correlation into intervention logic.

Parameter provenance: the values below are illustrative. lit. / data. / est. mark the intended weight of a range; this file cites no external source. Reading material for the workflow, not a literature-backed model.

network-rumor

Example: Idea → Mathematical Model (Rumor Spread in a School)

Demonstrates the network lens as primary, structure changes the answer.

Parameter provenance: the values below are illustrative. lit. / data. / est. mark the intended weight of a range; this file cites no external source. Reading material for the workflow, not a literature-backed model.

physics-oscillator

Example: Damped Pendulum Clock: How Much Time Is Lost?

Demonstrates deterministic primary + stochastic + thermodynamic + control secondary on a literal physics system.

Parameter provenance: the values below are illustrative. lit. / data. / est. mark the intended weight of a range; this file cites no external source. Reading material for the workflow, not a literature-backed model.

probability-bayes

Example: Medical Test Bayes: 99% Accurate, Disease 1/1000

Demonstrates Bayes primary + CLT validation + decision + information.

Parameter provenance: the values below are illustrative. lit. / data. / est. mark the intended weight of a range; this file cites no external source. Reading material for the workflow, not a literature-backed model.

sensor-placement

Example: Idea → Mathematical Model (Sensor Placement)

Demonstrates the information theory lens, deciding what to measure when you cannot measure everything.

Parameter provenance: the values below are illustrative. lit. / data. / est. mark the intended weight of a range; this file cites no external source. Reading material for the workflow, not a literature-backed model.

startup-growth

Example: Idea → Mathematical Model (App Adoption Growth)

Demonstrates archetype-first workflow (Bass diffusion) and Phase 7 calibration with real data.

Parameter provenance: the values below are illustrative. lit. / data. / est. mark the intended weight of a range; this file cites no external source. Reading material for the workflow, not a literature-backed model.

supply-chain-inventory

Example: Idea → Mathematical Model (Retail Inventory Under Uncertain Demand)

Second worked example, demonstrates stochastic + optimization + control lenses on a business problem.

Parameter provenance: the values below are illustrative. lit. / data. / est. mark the intended weight of a range; this file cites no external source. Reading material for the workflow, not a literature-backed model.